AGILE reads your edge, your form, and your risk — bet by bet —
then tells you exactly how much to stake, and when not to bet at all.
ANY SPORT • ANY REGION • ANY BETTOR
Picking Winners Is Only Half the Game
Here's the part almost nobody talks about: you could hand two bettors the exact same picks, at the exact same odds, over the exact same season — and one of them ends the year with a bigger bankroll, while the other goes broke.
The picks aren't the difference. The staking is.
Flat staking can't tell a strong edge from a weak one, so it wastes your best opportunities and over-exposes you on your worst.
Martingale and other “chase the loss” systems feel clever right up until the losing run that wipes out months of careful betting in one night.
And “gut feel” staking — betting more when you feel confident, less when you don't — is really just emotion wearing a spreadsheet.
Most staking plans only answer “how much.” AGILE is the one that also answers “should I
even bet this at all.”
Introducing the AGILE Staking Plan
AGILE is a fully automated, self-adjusting staking system built on the Kelly Criterion — the same edge-based staking mathematics professional gamblers, poker players and quantitative traders have relied on for decades — wrapped in a plan that watches your own results and adapts as you go.
You don't need to understand the maths. You don't need to be good at Excel. You just need to type in the odds you're offered, and log your results as they come in. AGILE does the rest.
What AGILE stands for
Adaptive — sizes every stake off your real, calculated edge — never a guess, never a flat percentage.
Guarded — automatically pulls stakes back the deeper a losing run goes, and lets them recover once it ends.
Intelligent — refuses to recommend a bet when there's no value. Most systems only size a bet — AGILE decides whether it's even worth making.
Live — recalculates itself the instant you log a new result — nothing to refresh, nothing to recompute by hand.
Evolving — keeps re-basing itself on your current form, bet by bet, instead of a set-and-forget number from months ago.
How It Works — Three Steps, Every Bet
Step 1 — You tell AGILE the odds you're being offered on the bet you're considering.
Step 2 — AGILE compares those odds to your real strike rate and tells you instantly: is there value here — yes or no.
Step 3 — If yes, it hands you the exact stake — sized by your edge, adjusted for your current streak, and capped to protect your bankroll. If no, it tells you to walk away, and exactly what odds it would take to change its mind.
No spreadsheet gymnastics. No mental maths. No second-guessing under pressure. One number, one decision, every time.
Why AGILE Is Different
Everything AGILE Does For You
Kelly-based stake sizing — Every stake is mathematically sized to your real edge at the odds on offer — not a flat percentage, not a hunch.
Automatic “no value” warnings — Before you ever risk a cent, AGILE tells you honestly whether the price on offer is even worth taking.
Streak-adaptive risk guard — Stakes shrink automatically the deeper a losing run goes, and recover once it ends — the opposite of chasing losses.
Self-learning live stats — Your Strike Rate and Average Winning Odds update automatically from your own logged results, so the plan keeps recalibrating to your real, current form.
Built-in bankroll safety net — Hard caps and floors on every stake mean no single bet — and no single bad run — can do outsized damage to your bankroll.
Works on any sport, any market, any region — Back bets are back bets, whether it's football, horse racing, tennis, cricket, or anything else. AGILE doesn't care what you're betting on — only what edge you have.
Works with any bookmaker or exchange — Built around exchange-style commission by default, adjustable to zero in seconds for a standard fixed-odds bookmaker.
Bet-by-bet bankroll growth chart — Watch your equity curve build automatically as you log results — no manual charting, no separate tracking spreadsheet.
Fully transparent, zero black box — Every number is a visible, auditable Excel formula. Nothing hidden, nothing you just have to trust.
5 independent plans in one workbook — Run up to five completely independent staking plans side-by-side — one per sport, or per strategy —plus you can make multiple copies from a single purchase.
Who AGILE Is Built For
The hobby bettor — Tired of watching a genuinely good run of picks get wiped out by bad staking discipline.
The tipster or picks seller — Wants to hand clients something that manages risk for them, not just tells them what to bet.
The betting syndicate or serious trader — Runs multiple strategies and needs discipline enforced automatically, not left to willpower.
Any bettor, any sport, any region — The maths doesn't care what sport you follow or what country you bet from — if you can back a price, AGILE can stake it.
Built On Real Math, Not Guesswork
The Kelly Criterion isn't a betting gimmick — it's a formula for optimal stake sizing that's been used in professional gambling, poker and quantitative finance since the 1950s.
AGILE applies it to your bets automatically, layers in real-world safeguards like stake caps, floors and streak protection, and shows you every single calculation in plain, auditable Excel formulas.
No app to trust blindly. No algorithm running somewhere you can't see. Open any cell, and see exactly why AGILE recommended what it recommended.
Risk-Managed By Design
Betting has no guarantees — and AGILE doesn't pretend otherwise. What it does do is make sure your staking never amplifies bad luck the way flat staking and chase-the-loss systems do. A hard Max Stake Cap keeps any one bet in check.
A Streak Multiplier automatically throttles your stakes back the deeper a losing run goes, and lets them recover once it ends. It's staking discipline that doesn't depend on you staying disciplined under pressure — because it's already built into the plan.
What You Get
A fully built, ready-to-use Excel workbook — just enter odds and log results, no setup or coding required.
5 independent staking plans in one file, so you can run separate sports or strategies side-by-side.
A built-in Logic & Notes tab explaining every formula in plain English.
An Odds Range Settings Guide, giving you a sensible starting point for your Settings whatever odds you typically bet at.
Also Cloud based agile software doing the same thing as Excel one.
Ready to Stake Like a Professional?
Every bet you place without a real staking plan behind it is a coin-flip on discipline, not just on the result. AGILE puts the discipline on autopilot — so your picks finally get the staking they deserve.
Frequently Asked Questions
Do I need to know Excel or coding?
No. Everything is pre-built. You just type in odds and log results — AGILE does the maths.
Will this work for the sport I bet on?
Yes. AGILE only needs decimal back odds and a Win/Loss/Void result — it doesn't know or care what sport, league or market they come from.
What if I'm just starting out and don't have a betting history yet?
You set a starting Strike Rate and Average Odds manually, and AGILE blends in your real results automatically as you log them — so it works from bet one.
Is there a limit to how many bets or sports I can track?
Each purchase includes 5 independent plans, each with 200 rows of bet history and its own live dashboard — plenty for most bettors, and enough to separate multiple sports or strategies.
Agile, in the dictionary:
"Agile means the ability to move quickly, easily, and adapt to change with speed and clarity."
We are now bring that to a Staking plan.
Biggest Question.
Is it for you?
If you are back betting, then this is for you, as long as you are betting only one selection a race or event.
And not betting the next race or event before the result is known, so yes the result will affect how much is staked in the next race/event.
Also you would be best it you have your odds range in a band, like 2.00 to 3.50 for example on say football head to head. Or with horses 3.20 to 6.00 as an example.
Of course you can run multiple sequences on different spreadsheet or cloud session.
Assumptions & limits (read before relying on this)
• This models BACK bets only, at decimal odds ≥ 1.01.
• Betfair Commission (Dashboard, Settings) is charged only on the profit from a winning bet, exactly as Betfair's Exchange charges it — never on a losing bet, and never on your stake itself.
It reduces both the Bet Log's actual P&L and the advisor's recommended stake (since your real payout on a win is lower than the raw odds suggest). It's a single flat rate here as a simplification — Betfair's real commission is calculated per market on net winnings across all bets in that market, which can differ slightly from a strict bet-by-bet deduction.
• Kelly staking assumes your Strike Rate is a fair estimate of true future win probability — garbage in, garbage out. With under ~30-50 logged bets, treat recommendations as indicative, not precise.
• The model does not know about correlated bets (e.g. multiple bets on the same match or same day) — use judgement alongside it.
• Nothing here guarantees profit. Betting carries risk of loss; stake only what you can afford to lose and review the Settings periodically as your results evolve.
• All Bet Log rows beyond your data are pre-built with formulas so the sheet 'just works' as you keep adding bets — do not type over columns A, F, H, I, J (formulas) or K (hidden helper).
• Stake % Used (Bet Log) is typed the way you'd say it out loud — 0.5 for half a percent, 5 for five percent — not as a plain Excel percentage where 0.5 would mean 50%.
What makes AGILE different.
Most staking plans size every bet the same way regardless of the bettor's own form — a flat % or fixed unit, or a progression like Martingale/Fibonacci that increases stake after a loss and can spiral a bankroll to zero in a single bad run. AGILE takes a different approach:
• It sizes stakes off your own real, updating edge (Kelly criterion) rather than a guess or an industry-average strike rate.
• It cuts stake automatically the deeper you run into a losing streak relative to your own worst-ever run, then recovers it automatically once the run eases — the opposite of Martingale, and built to preserve capital rather than chase losses.
• It refuses to recommend a bet at all when the odds on offer don't beat your implied win probability — most staking plans only size a bet, this one first decides whether the bet is worth making.
• It recalculates itself bet-by-bet from your own logged history, so it keeps re-basing on your current form instead of a set-and-forget assumption from months ago.
Comes in Two Formats (you chose):
1. Cloud format: Use on phone, tablet, PC or Mac.
2. Microsoft Excel Format: You need exel on your PC to use this format.
Agile Staking Excel Overview Video.
Below is the excel interface.
Cloud Overview Video:
Below is the Cloud Interface.
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